Intrade's election trading has been getting a fair amount of play around the Web. The site is sort of a free market for the future; users buy contracts depending on what they believe will happen. The prices adjust accordingly depending on how popular any given outcome is. Currently, traders are favoring Obama, and that's real money they're betting with.
It looks like people expect Florida to go blue, though only barely. I'm surprised how confident people are that Colorado and New Mexico will favor Obama, let alone Nevada. Really, though, who are the four percent of people giving Illinois to McCain?
Also, I'm happy to see Blogger is letting me embed this map in my post (that thing's interactive! Click on!), because it wouldn't let me do something similar last week.
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
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